OP16 The Time of the Battle launched in Japan on May 30, 2026 and hits English markets on June 12. Two weeks in, Marshall.D.Teach has run away with the popularity vote at 19,964 ranked matches, more than triple Nami's 6,109. The whole player base is on the new Blackbeard shell. The win rate data is telling a different story.
Nami converts play to tournament wins at 0.62% (38 wins / 6,109 matches). Enel converts at 0.50%. The new OP16 leaders convert between 0.10% and 0.12%. That is a roughly fivefold gap. Teach is winning more games than any new leader by raw count (22), but the player base behind that number is so large that the per-match rate is far below the carryovers. The format right now is a popularity wave on Teach with the points still being won by mature OP15 and OP11 shells.
The set's theme is the Marineford and Paramount War arc, which is why Teach is the headline new leader: OP16 is literally his set. New Admiral leaders, expanded Blackbeard Pirates support, and a new Manga Rare rarity are the additions. Yamato carries over from Wano-arc support but receives new tools in this booster, which gives the Yamato shell its tournament-side relevance.
- OP16 The Time of the Battle is live: May 30, 2026 in Japan, June 12 in English markets
- Marshall.D.Teach is the format's most-played leader by a wide margin: 19,964 ranked matches, 3.3x Nami's 6,109
- Teach wins 50.5% overall, but the split is 39.3% going first, 56.0% going second, a 16.7-point gap
- Nami still tops the win rate table at 57.3% across 6,109 matches; Enel follows at 56.5% across 7,005
- Conversion of play to tournament wins: Nami 0.62%, Enel 0.50%, OP16 leaders 0.10 to 0.12%. The carryovers convert 5x better.
- 208 tournament wins from May 25 to June 9: Nami 38, Enel 35, Teach 22, OP16 Luffy 17, Yamato 17, Ace 16, Lucy 11, Rosinante 8, Sengoku 6, Shanks 5
East data is provisional: OP16 is the active East format but the rotation has only been live for about two weeks. Win rates listed are raw percentages, not Bayesian-adjusted. See /meta for Bayesian tiers and /decklists for the full tournament archive.
The Carryovers Are Winning on Less Volume
Both Nami and Enel have fewer than half the ranked matches of Teach and Yamato, yet they take down more tournaments. That asymmetry is the most important finding in the data. It tells you that the strong tournament player population has not migrated to the new set yet, and that the matchup numbers Teach posts in ranked are happening against players who are still learning the shell. As the OP16 builds harden, the gap may close. For now, the safest tournament pick is still a carryover.
Nami (OP11-041), 57.3% win rate, 38 wins
Nami has the highest win rate in the format at 57.3% across 6,109 matches and the most tournament wins (38) by any leader. Going first she wins 58.0%, going second 56.8%. The 1.2-point gap is the smallest among top leaders, which makes her the format's coin-flip-independent pick.
Green's denial package still beats the new OP16 aggressive lines often enough to matter. The decks winning regionals are the same shells that were winning in OP15, with maybe one or two flex swaps for the new card pool. There is no hard counter to Nami in OP16 yet.
Enel (OP15-058), 56.5% win rate, 35 wins
Enel holds at 56.5% across 7,005 matches with 35 tournament wins, second only to Nami. Going first he wins 60.0%, going second 53.4%. The 6.6-point gap is significant but not extreme. The Enel game plan from the OP15 article still holds: convert DON!! pressure into Life removal, and prefer the first turn when you win the flip.
The interesting matchup question is Enel against Teach. Teach prefers going second, Enel prefers going first, so when both win the coin flip they each get what they want and the matchup is decided by the cards. The early reports favor Enel: his Life-pressure clock outruns Teach's setup more often than not, which is part of why Enel has kept winning despite OP16's arrival.
The New OP16 Leaders
Three new leaders have crossed 10,000 ranked matches in two weeks: Teach, Yamato, and OP16 Luffy. Together they account for more than 50,000 of the 65,669 East matches in this window. The community is testing OP16 hard. The headline number is how disconnected the play volume is from the tournament conversion.
Marshall.D.Teach (OP16-080)
The most-played leader in the format at 19,964 matches and a 50.5% overall win rate. The split is the real story: 39.3% going first, 56.0% going second, a 16.7-point gap that's the largest among the top 10. When Teach players can dictate going second, the leader posts a 56% rate that is competitive with Enel. The floor is the problem: in best-of-3 with both players going first once, the going-first matches drag the average back down. Teach's tournament conversion (22 wins / 19,964 matches = 0.11%) reflects this ceiling-floor tension.
Yamato (OP16-079)
16,449 ranked matches, 48.0% win rate, 17 tournament wins. Tied with OP16 Luffy among new leaders, behind only Teach. The Yamato shell stacks Kouzuki characters and uses aggressive event removal from the OP16 booster. The 48% ranked win rate is the worst among the top 10 leaders, but the 17 tournament wins are roughly proportional to the matches played (0.10% conversion), which means tournament Yamato is performing about where ranked Yamato is. The deck rewards practice but doesn't appear to be hiding upside.
Monkey.D.Luffy (OP16-022)
The OP16 red Luffy variant: 14,528 matches, 50.5% win rate, 17 tournament wins. Going first 46.1%, going second 52.8%. Less coin-flip dependent than Teach but with the same conversion profile (0.12%). The deck is an aggressive Wano shell using new OP16 characters. Sitting at the format median for win rate, with tournament results to match.
Yamato Consensus Build (17 Tournament Wins)
Yamato (OP16-079) has 17 tournament wins across the May 25 to June 9 window. The build is consistent: eight cards appear in every winning list, and three more in 95%. The deck has not split into competing variants yet.
Cards in 70%+ of winning Yamato lists
Eight cards are unanimous (100%). The 12 listed below cover roughly 46 of the 50 non-leader slots. The remaining 4 are flex.
Full decklists: filter by Yamato on /decklists
Blackbeard Consensus Build (22 Tournament Wins)
Teach (OP16-080) has 22 tournament wins in the same window, the most of any new OP16 leader. The deck pulls heavily from OP09 Blackbeard support, layers the new OP16 Blackbeard Pirates on top, and runs Borsalino (EB04-058) for global removal.
Cards in 70%+ of winning Teach lists
Seven cards are unanimous (100%). Borsalino and Van Augur sit at 88%. The 12 listed below cover the main shell; Baby 5 (63%) and Black Vortex (58%) are common flex picks just below the threshold.
Full decklists: filter by Marshall.D.Teach on /decklists
First vs Second: The Coin Flip Matrix
The OP16 leaders, especially Teach and Yamato, have unusually large first/second gaps. Here is every qualifying leader with at least 500 East matches.
| Leader | Overall WR | Matches | Going First | Going Second | Gap | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nami OP11-041 | 57.3% | 6,109 | 58% | 56.8% | +1.2 | S |
 Enel OP15-058 | 56.5% | 7,005 | 60% | 53.4% | +6.6 | S |
 Donquixote Rosinante OP12-061 | 54.2% | 12,373 | 58% | 50.5% | +7.6 | A |
 Portgas.D.Ace OP13-002 | 52.7% | 4,207 | 46.4% | 56.1% | -9.7 | A |
 Boa Hancock OP14-041 | 52.6% | 2,879 | 46.9% | 55.7% | -8.8 | A |
 Monkey.D.Luffy OP16-022 | 50.5% | 14,528 | 46.1% | 52.8% | -6.8 | B |
 Marshall.D.Teach OP16-080 | 50.5% | 19,964 | 39.3% | 56% | -16.7 | B |
 Sengoku OP16-060 | 48.3% | 3,818 | 51.5% | 45.3% | +6.3 | B |
 Yamato OP16-079 | 48% | 16,449 | 43% | 50.7% | -7.7 | C |
 Buggy OP16-041 | 45.9% | 3,623 | 41.9% | 48.2% | -6.3 | C |
Three takeaways from the matrix. Teach is the format's clearest "go second" leader at +16.7 points in favor of the back seat. Sengoku is the only OP16 leader that prefers going first, by 6.2 points. The carryover leaders (Nami, Enel, Rosinante) have smaller or moderate gaps, which is part of why they keep winning: less coin-flip dependency.
What to Bring to a Regional
For a regional this weekend, Nami is the data-driven pick. The highest win rate (57.3%), the smallest coin-flip dependency (1.2 points), the most tournament wins in the window (38), and a mature build that has had months of refinement. Enel is the close second if you prefer the more aggressive line and are comfortable winning going-second mirrors.
For OP16 specifically, Teach is the pick that has the highest ceiling but the lowest floor. The 56.0% going-second win rate is real and is what makes Teach worth taking. The 39.3% going-first rate is also real and is what costs you the matches where the coin flip goes wrong. Tournament rounds are usually best-of-3 with players alternating who chooses, so over a long event you will play both sides. The 50.5% average reflects this. If you can build the deck specifically to be more resilient going first, the leader's ceiling is higher than the average suggests.
Yamato is the option if you want to play OP16 without Teach's coin-flip dependency. The win rate is lower but the build is more stable: more games look the same regardless of who goes first. The tournament conversion is roughly proportional to ranked play, which suggests the deck doesn't hide upside.
The contrarian case for the field: most of the OP16 player base is on Teach. If you bring a leader optimized to beat Teach going second (where his ceiling is), you may have an outsize edge in a metagame where 30% of your opponents are on the same archetype. Both Nami and Enel post strong matchup numbers against the new Blackbeard shell.
The full leader win rates, matchup matrices, and Bayesian-adjusted tier placements live on the meta page. Every decklist mentioned in this snapshot can be filtered on /decklists, and you can build any version of these shells in the deck builder.