Two weeks into OP15. Across 30,277+ ranked matches in Western play, one leader is pulling ahead of the pack by a margin that's hard to ignore.
- Enel (OP15-058) is the best leader at 55.7% win rate across 8,758 matches
- Going first adds 14.8 percentage points to Enel's win rate (62.4% vs 47.6%)
- Ace is the opposite: he prefers going second (55.6% vs 43.5% first)
- Lucy is the most popular leader (7,606 matches) but only 51.2% win rate
- Nami holds steady as the second-best leader at 53.9%
Data: ranked ladder matches from Western play (NA/EU), collected via community tournament aggregation. Minimum 100 matches to qualify. Win rates are raw percentages, not Bayesian-adjusted (see /meta for Bayesian tiers).
S Tier: Enel and Nami
Enel (OP15-058), 55.7% win rate
OP15 Enel sits at 55.7% across 8,758 matches. That's not a small-sample fluke. Nearly nine thousand games is more than enough data to call it: Enel is the best leader in the format right now. His ability to convert DON!! pressure into direct Life removal gives him inevitability that most midrange leaders can't answer cleanly.
The first/second split tells the real story. Going first, Enel wins 62.4% of games. Going second, that drops to 47.6%. That 14.8-point gap is one of the largest in the format. Win the coin flip, choose first, and you're a heavy favorite. Lose the flip and your opponent takes the first turn, you're fighting uphill. Regional preparation with Enel should factor this in: your game plan going second matters more than with almost any other leader.
Multiple regionals in Western play have seen Enel-led builds in the Top 8 and on podiums, including the Victory Road Barcelona event. If you're preparing for a regional, you need a plan for Enel, whether that means playing him or knowing your matchup numbers against him cold.
Enel consensus build (77 tournament lists)
Cards that appear in 80%+ of winning Enel builds. The remaining ~6 slots vary by player preference.
Full decklists: filter by Enel on /decklists
Nami (OP11-041), 53.9% win rate
Nami is the other leader sitting comfortably above the field at 53.9% across 3,902 matches. Green's board control tools remain strong even as the meta shifts around her, and Nami in particular punishes slow setups by denying key turns. She's been a consistent performer since her release and OP15 hasn't changed that.
Unlike Enel, Nami's first/second gap is manageable: 55.8% going first, 51.5% going second. That 4.4-point difference is within the normal range, which means Nami performs reliably regardless of the coin flip.
Nami consensus build (76 tournament lists)
Cards that appear in 58%+ of winning Nami builds. Green's shell has more flex slots than Enel's, so expect wider variation between lists.
Full decklists: filter by Nami on /decklists
First vs Second: The Coin Flip Matrix
Most players don't think about how much the coin flip matters for each leader. Some leaders have nearly identical win rates going first or second. Others swing by 15+ points. Here's every qualifying leader's split:
| Leader | Overall WR | Matches | Going First | Going Second | Gap | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Enel OP15-058 | 55.7% | 8,758 | 62.4% | 47.6% | +14.8 | S |
 Nami OP11-041 | 53.9% | 3,902 | 55.8% | 51.5% | +4.4 | S |
 Luffy OP13-001 | 52.2% | 981 | 52.6% | 51.7% | +0.8 | A |
 Boa Hancock OP14-041 | 51.7% | 859 | 55% | 48.8% | +6.2 | A |
 Lucy OP15-002 | 51.2% | 7,606 | 50.2% | 52.2% | -2.0 | B |
 Kalgara OP08-098 | 50.6% | 1,260 | 57.8% | 41.3% | +16.5 | B |
 Luffy OP15-098 | 50.5% | 2,978 | 51.5% | 49.3% | +2.2 | B |
 Portgas.D.Ace OP13-002 | 50.2% | 3,933 | 43.5% | 55.6% | -12.2 | B |
Two standouts from the matrix. Ace prefers going second (55.6% vs 43.5% first), a 12-point swing in the opposite direction from most leaders. This makes sense: Ace's strategy benefits from the extra DON!! and card draw on turn one. If you're on Ace, win the flip, and choose second. If your opponent wins and takes first, that's fine too.
Lucy is uniquely balanced. Almost no difference between first (50.2%) and second (52.2%). That rare evenness means Lucy's gameplan doesn't depend on tempo as much as other leaders, which might explain the deck's popularity even if its ceiling is lower than Enel or Nami.
Kalgara has the largest gap in the format at +16.5 points (57.8% first vs 41.3% second). If you see Kalgara across the table and they won the coin flip, expect them to take first turn and come out swinging.
A and B Tier: Lucy, Luffy, and Ace
Lucy (OP15-002)
Most popular leader in the format with 7,606 matches. Everyone wants to play the new OP15 headliner. The problem: 51.2% win rate is barely above break-even. Compare that to Enel with a similar match count but 4.5 points higher. Lucy is a solid B-tier pick, not the format-warping threat some predicted at reveal.
Portgas.D.Ace (OP13-002)
Ace continues to be one of the most-played leaders at 3,933 matches. His 50.2% win rate puts him right at the median. Not broken, not bad. The default midrange choice for players who want a consistent, well-understood deck. Tournament results will always have a healthy share of Ace because the player base knows him deeply.
What to Bring to a Regional
If you want to maximize your win percentage based on the current data: play Enel. Make sure you have a plan for going second. If Enel gets hit by restrictions or you don't have the cards for him, Nami is your next-best option with a smaller first/second dependency.
If you're more interested in exploring OP15's new tools, Lucy and the new Luffy are both playable. Know that the numbers say you're giving up a few percentage points compared to the established top tier. That gap can close as players optimize the builds, but right now the data favors the proven leaders.
Full leader win rates, matchup matrices, and Bayesian-adjusted tier placements are on the meta page. Every decklist mentioned in this snapshot can be found on /decklists, filterable by leader and date. Build your version in the deck builder.